How to read the forecast results
This page explains the following values obtained as a forecast result.
Success Rate Forecasted by AI
This is the project success rate forecast by AI.
AI forecasts the success rate in terms of a probability distribution. The average value of the distribution is displayed as Success Rate Forecasted by AI.
The probability distribution can be found in the "Details" section.
Please refer to Glossaries for the meaning of “project success rate”.
Goals You Set
This is the average of the target success rate entered in questions 21-24.
Probability of exceeding the goals
It represents the probability that the success rate of the project will exceed the "Goals You Set" as calculated based on AI forecasts.
It corresponds to the area of the red-colored portion of the graph in the "Details" section.
Judgment Score
Projects are ranked on a 5-point scale from “A” to “E” based on the “Probability of exceeding the goals”.
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